7 comments
70 forecasters
Will diplomatic expulsions or recalls take place between the Philippines and China before June 1, 2024?
1%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:May 14, 2024
Closes:May 31, 2024
Resolved:Jun 6, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:May 16, 2024
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Will armed conflict between the Philippines and the People's Republic of China (PRC) cause at least 100 deaths before 2050?
15% chance
31
Will China settle its South China Sea maritime boundary dispute with any other state by 2030?
27% chance
5
Will there be major civil unrest or martial law in the Philippines in 2025?
3% chance
46