11 comments
30 forecasters
Will the REAL ID deadline be extended beyond May 7, 2025?
37%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 37% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:May 16, 2024
Closes:May 6, 2025
Resolved:May 9, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:May 19, 2024
Will a federal voter ID bill be signed by Trump before Jan. 20, 2029?
66.7% chance
15
Will the One Big Beautiful Bill Act contain a 5+ year AI moratorium provision and be signed into law before July 2026?
0.1% chance
22
Will the United States pass a law setting deadlines on NEPA review before January 1, 2027?
47% chance
32