16 comments
28 forecasters
Before 2025, will the following occur relating to pasteurized milk and avian influenza H5N1 in the United States?
Milk recall due to H5N1result: No
US officials warn against drinking milkresult: No
Confirmed H5N1 infection from retail milkresult: No
Authors:
Opened:May 17, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2024
Resolved:Jan 20, 2025
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Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?
4% chance
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84.6 cases
(71.1 - 115)
84.6 cases
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52 forecasters
Will an avian influenza virus in humans be declared a “Public Health Emergency of International Concern” by the World Health Organization before 2030?
62% chance
56