🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Group

Before 2025, will the following occur relating to pasteurized milk and avian influenza H5N1 in the United States?

4
16
28 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Make a Prediction

OutcomeMe
Milk recall due to H5N1
no
US officials warn against drinking milk
no
Confirmed H5N1 infection from retail milk
no
Resolved Dec 31, 2024
Community Baseline Score
97.4
Community Peer Score
1.6
Authors:
RyanBeck
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Respiratory Outlook 2023/24
Health & Pandemics
2024 Leaderboard
Virology
US Department of Agriculture
Avian influenza
Public health
Grade A Pasteurized Milk Ordinance
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
Infectious disease
Veterinary medicine
Influenza A virus subtype H5N1

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