🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Group

What will be the extent of the H5N1 outbreak in dairy cows on August 1, 2024?

3
24
18 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 18

Make a Prediction

Domainresolution

PDF

CDF

community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
12.82
13.33
14.16

What was the final result?13

Community Baseline Score
82.7
Community Peer Score
53.3
Authors:
RyanBeck
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Respiratory Outlook 2023/24
Health & Pandemics
2024 Leaderboard
Infectious disease
Influenza A virus subtype H5N1
Food and Drug Administration
US Department of Agriculture
Kansas
Texas
New Mexico
Public health
Virology

Comments

? comments