7 comments
84 forecasters
Will a journalist or an opposition politician be charged in connection with the assassination attempt on Slovak PM Robert Fico, before June 15, 2024?
1%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:May 20, 2024
Closes:Jun 14, 2024
Resolved:Jun 15, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:May 22, 2024
Will there be legal consequences for Peter Murrell's involvement in the Scottish National Party's financial irregularities?
77% chance
59
Will two or more U.S. state or federal judges or legislators be victims of murder or attempted murder by non-state actors in the following years?
46 forecasters
Will any court sentence Luigi Mangione to death before 2030?
18% chance
14