Question

Who will win the popular vote in the 2024 United States presidential election?

40 comments40

182 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 182

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris (& Others)

Joe Biden

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Make a Prediction

Candidates		My Prediction		Me
ResolvedDonald Trump	23.5%

Joe Biden	0.1%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.	0.1%

Kamala Harris (& Others)	76.3%

Total: ?

(? remaining)

Which of these actually happened?Donald Trump

Community Baseline Score

17.7

Community Peer Score

26.8

Authors:

f_nqxc Jgalt

Opened:

May 23, 2024

Closes:

Nov 5, 2024

Resolves:

Nov 5, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

May 26, 2024

Will a Democrat win the 2028 US presidential election?

57%

Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?

40%

Who will be the 2028 Democratic nominee for President of the United States?

Authors:

f_nqxc Jgalt

Opened:

May 23, 2024

Closes:

Nov 5, 2024

Resolves:

Nov 5, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

May 26, 2024

Will a Democrat win the 2028 US presidential election?

57%

Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?

40%