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33
59
forecasters
13
33 comments
59 forecasters
🏆 Q2 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆
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Who will become President of Iran in the first round of voting?
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Mohammad Mokhber
0.1%
Saeed Jalili
9.4%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
20.3%
Another outcome
result:
Yes
4 others
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57.7%
Someone else
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4.5%
None
3.9%
5 others
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Will the Iranian government lose power before 2027?
10%
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End of Islamic Republic in Iran
Current estimate
Jan 2032
3 comments
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Reza Pahlavi visits Iran during 2026?
3%
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Iran Economist Democracy Index value 2026?
Current estimate
2
3 comments
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Another U.S.–Iran face-to-face meeting by June 6?
18%
chance
1 comment
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Will Erdoğan remain President of Turkey until the next elections?
92%
chance
32 comments
136 forecasters
US controls Tehran in war with Iran
3%
chance