Question

Will the People's Liberation Army Navy lose at least one surface vessel before 2030?

1
3
Total Forecasters12
Community Prediction
58.5%
(45% - 65%)

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50%
community: 58.5%
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Authors:
IY
Opened:Jun 4, 2024
Closes:Dec 30, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 7, 2024
Geopolitics
People's Liberation Army
Communist Party of China
South China Sea
United States Navy
Philippines
Yellow Sea
Taiwan
People's Liberation Army Navy
Shang-class submarine