6 forecasters

When will the World Health Organization report no detected polio cases (wild poliovirus) for an entire calendar year, for the first time?

≥205025%

2045-204919.6%

2030-203417.4%

Forecast Timeline

≥2050

2045-2049

2030-2034

Others (3)

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Authors:

Opened:

Jun 10, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2049

Scheduled resolution:

Apr 8, 2050

Spot Scoring Time:

Jun 13, 2024