Faithless electors in US 2024 Election?

conditional

condition

2024 US election considered fraudulent?

if yes

if no

Faithless electors in US 2024 Election?

51%

Faithless electors in US 2024 Election?

40%

-1

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Make a Prediction

2024 US election considered fraudulent?	Faithless electors in US 2024 Election?
if yes	My Prediction: —
if no	My Prediction: —

community: 51%

Forecast Timeline

Yes

Authors:

NMorrison

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

2020 US presidential election

2016 US presidential election

Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election? → 2024 US election considered fraudulent?

2024 US election considered fraudulent? → Civil Unrest or Rioting in US Before 2031?

Will there be faithless electors in the 2024 US Presidential election?

50%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

NMorrison

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

2020 US presidential election

2016 US presidential election

Not everything will run perfectly on Election Day. Still, US elections are remarkably reliable

Associated Press•Oct 9, 2024

Yes, voter fraud happens. But it’s rare and election offices have safeguards to catch it

Associated Press•Oct 9, 2024

Leaders Call for Calm Ahead of Potentially Fraught Election Outcome

Newsweek•Oct 10, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election? → 2024 US election considered fraudulent?

2024 US election considered fraudulent? → Civil Unrest or Rioting in US Before 2031?

Will there be faithless electors in the 2024 US Presidential election?

50%