Faithless electors in US 2024 Election?

condition

2024 US election considered fraudulent?

Resolved:No

16 forecasters

if yes

if no

Faithless electors in US 2024 Election?

51%

Resolved:Annulled

Faithless electors in US 2024 Election?

45%

Resolved:No

1 1 comment

16 forecasters

Make a Prediction

2024 US election considered fraudulent?	Faithless electors in US 2024 Election?
if yes	My Prediction: —
if no	My Prediction: —

50%

community: 45%

What was the final result? No

Community Peer Score

59.6

Community Baseline Score

15.1

if Yes

if No

Authors:

NMorrison

Opened:

Jan 1, 2024

Closes:

Nov 5, 2024

Resolved:

Nov 8, 2024

Will a U.S. federal or state court prevent certification of any statewide election result in the following years because of fraud?

In the following U.S. presidential elections, will any state fail to submit a slate of electoral votes to Congress by the safe harbor deadline?

Will the House of Representatives seat a legislator who was not certified as the winner of their election before July 1, 2027?

5% chance

128

Authors:

NMorrison

Opened:

Jan 1, 2024

Closes:

Nov 5, 2024

Resolved:

Nov 8, 2024

Will a U.S. federal or state court prevent certification of any statewide election result in the following years because of fraud?

In the following U.S. presidential elections, will any state fail to submit a slate of electoral votes to Congress by the safe harbor deadline?

Will the House of Representatives seat a legislator who was not certified as the winner of their election before July 1, 2027?

5% chance

128