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25 forecasters
π Q2 2024 Quarterly Cup π
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Will Iran's Guardian Council include Mahmoud Ahmadinejad's name on its list of approved candidates for president of Iran?
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11 comments
75 forecasters
Who will be Iran's Supreme Leader on Jan 1, 2027?
Mojtaba Khamenei
61.2%
Someone else
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Hassan Khomeini
4.1%
Alireza Arafi
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5 others
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227 forecasters
Will the Iranian government lose power before 2027?
9.4%
chance
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Reza Pahlavi visits Iran during 2026?
3%
chance
4 comments
13 forecasters
Iran Economist Democracy Index value 2026?
Current estimate
2
54 comments
138 forecasters
End of Islamic Republic in Iran
Current estimate
Jan 2032
3 comments
121 forecasters
Another U.S.βIran face-to-face meeting by June 6?
20%
chance
7 comments
8 forecasters
Next UN Secretary General?
Rafael Grossi
25.6%
Michelle Bachelet
25.6%
Rebeca Grynspan
25.6%
Other
22.4%
Macky Sall
0.9%
4 comments
19 forecasters
Turkey Snap Elections Before May 2028
40%
chance