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329 forecasters

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329 forecasters

Ragnarök Series

Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

30%chance

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45 comments468 forecasters

GC to be caused by AI, if it occurs?

23 comments423 forecasters

Global Population Decline >10% by 2100

5 comments88 forecasters

Nanotechnology GC to cause (near) extinction

9 comments187 forecasters

GC to be caused by nanotech, if it occurs?

9 comments84 forecasters

CTs AI Extinction Before 2100

7 comments73 forecasters

Date of AI-Driven Human Extinction

Current estimate

2 comments166 forecasters

Synth-bio GC to cause (near) extinction?

18 comments165 forecasters

Date of AI Catastrophe, If Occurring by 2100

Current estimate