Question

Will possible evidence for a new light particle be independently confirmed?

Resolved:No

7 comments7

Total Forecasters104

Community Prediction

30%

(18% - 45%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 30%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

59.0

Community Peer Score

18.9

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Jun 9, 2016

Closes:

Oct 1, 2016

Resolves:

Jan 9, 2018

Spot Scoring Time:

Jun 9, 2016

Natural Sciences

Nuclear Technology & Risks

2016-2017 Leaderboard

Will lepton universality be falsified before 2026?

What will be the mass in eV of the next fundamental particle to be discovered?

6.28T

Will we discover clear evidence of proton decay by 2040?

20%

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Jun 9, 2016

Closes:

Oct 1, 2016

Resolves:

Jan 9, 2018

Spot Scoring Time:

Jun 9, 2016

Natural Sciences

Nuclear Technology & Risks

2016-2017 Leaderboard

Will lepton universality be falsified before 2026?

What will be the mass in eV of the next fundamental particle to be discovered?

6.28T

Will we discover clear evidence of proton decay by 2040?

20%