270 comments

2.9k forecasters

Will there be a "World War Three" before 2050?

22%chance

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Jan 15, 2019

Closes:

Jan 1, 2050

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2050

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 15, 2019

Wars and Rumors of Wars

American Thinker•Oct 16, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Five years after AGI, will there have been a World War III?

How much will world population decline after World War 3, if such a war happens by 2050?

Will a world war begin before 2151?