Question

Will Carnegie Mellon be the top university accepted to NeurIPS 2019?

Resolved:No

7 comments7

Total Forecasters44

Community Prediction

39%

(34% - 42%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 39%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

29.6

Community Peer Score

2.4

Authors:

DanielFilan

Opened:

Jan 15, 2019

Closes:

May 18, 2019

Resolves:

Sep 18, 2019

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 16, 2019

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

2019 Leaderboard

Will a paper with an AI as an author be published at NeurIPS, ICML, or ICLR before 2028?

31%

When will an AI-written paper first get published in a top 50 scientific journal according to the Scimago Journal rankings?

19 Sep 2028

Will OpenAI top the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard on December 31, 2025?

37%