Question
What will be the official vote percentage for the Ensemble! coalition in the first round of the French legislative elections on June 30, 2024, as reported by July 3, 2024?
Resolved:20.04Total Forecasters37
Community Prediction
21.3
(20.1 - 22.2)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <14 | 0.7% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 20.09 | — |
| median | 21.27 | — |
| upper 75% | 22.23 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >30 | 0.3% | — |
What was the final result?20.04
Community Baseline Score
51.1
Community Peer Score
12.9
Authors:
Opened:Jun 13, 2024
Closes:Jun 30, 2024
Resolves:Jul 3, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 15, 2024
Authors:
Opened:Jun 13, 2024
Closes:Jun 30, 2024
Resolves:Jul 3, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 15, 2024
