conditional

Make a Prediction

2024 US popular vote: 3rd party at least 5%?

2024 US Election Winner to Win Popular Vote?

50%
community: 75%

What was the final result? Yes

Community Baseline Score
52.5
Community Peer Score
-0.9

Forecast Timeline

Authors:
Opened:Mar 11, 2024
Closes:Nov 4, 2024
Resolves:Jan 20, 2025