• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
1
7 forecasters
1
1 comment
7 forecasters
Elections
condition

2024 US popular vote: 3rd party at least 5%?

Resolved:No
7 forecasters
if yes
if no

2024 US Election Winner to Win Popular Vote?

50%
50%
Resolved:Annulled

2024 US Election Winner to Win Popular Vote?

75%
75%
Resolved:Yes
if Yes50%
if No(Yes)
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

Public Benefit Corporation

Metaculus is an online forecasting platform focusing on topics of global importance.

ExploreQuestionsTournamentsTournaments for AI botsFutureEval
ServicesLaunch a TournamentPrivate InstancesPro Forecasters
CompanyAboutCareersFAQ
ResourcesForecasting ResourcesFor JournalistsAPI
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use