Question

Will Russia and Ukraine sign or prolong natural gas transit deal before 2025?

Resolved:No

4

Total Forecasters39

Community Prediction

0.1%

(0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 0.1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Peer Score

15.3

Authors:

Opened:

Jun 22, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2024

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Jun 25, 2024

2024 Leaderboard

It must surely be time to end Russia sanctions and develop a new plan to bring peace and prosperity to Ukraine

Strategic Culture•Jul 2, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will either the TurkStream or Blue Stream pipeline unexpectedly cease transporting gas at any point in 2025?

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

Will Ukraine's exports in 2025 exceed those in 2021?

Authors:

Opened:

Jun 22, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2024

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Jun 25, 2024

2024 Leaderboard

It must surely be time to end Russia sanctions and develop a new plan to bring peace and prosperity to Ukraine

Strategic Culture•Jul 2, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will either the TurkStream or Blue Stream pipeline unexpectedly cease transporting gas at any point in 2025?

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

Will Ukraine's exports in 2025 exceed those in 2021?