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1
28 forecasters
4
1 comment
28 forecasters
Conditional Cup
condition

Netanyahu PM Through 2024?

Resolved:Yes
28 forecasters
if yes
if no

Israel-Hezbollah: 1000 deaths before 2025?

98%
98%
Resolved:Yes

Israel-Hezbollah: 1000 deaths before 2025?

85%
85%
Resolved:Annulled
if Yes(Yes)
if No85%
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

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15 comments832 forecasters

Will Netanyahu leave office in 2026?

28%chance
9 comments38 forecasters

Netanyahu's situation in 2032?

Prime Minister of Israel3.8%
Non-PM political position19.6%
Imprisoned18%
Other58.6%
1 comment21 forecasters

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be pardoned before Nov 19, 2029?

50%chance
2 comments27 forecasters

Who will be the Israeli Prime Minister following the election for the 26th Knesset?

Benjamin Netanyahu29.2%
Naftali Bennett45.5%
Yair Lapid6.8%
Other14.6%
2 others
6 comments2 forecasters

Confirmed deaths from Iran war 2026

Revealed in 2 months
3 comments33 forecasters

Israel take Gaza City before 2029?

24%chance
0 comments42 forecasters

When will the term of Israel's 25th Knesset end?

Current estimate
26 Sep 2026
29 comments183 forecasters

Gaza war end and two state solution by 2030?

3.3%chance