Question
What will be the estimated number of internally displaced persons (IDPs) in Sudan at the end of December 2024?
Resolved:11.532822MTotal Forecasters7
Community Prediction
11.5M
(11.3M - 11.7M)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <10.1M | 2.3% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 11.27M | — |
| median | 11.49M | — |
| upper 75% | 11.73M | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >20M | 0.1% | — |
What was the final result?11.532822M
Community Baseline Score
75.3
Community Peer Score
33.7
Authors:
Opened:Jun 19, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2024
Resolves:Jan 15, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 22, 2024
Authors:
Opened:Jun 19, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2024
Resolves:Jan 15, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 22, 2024