6 comments
14 forecasters
Will a high fidelity fermentation test that costs under $10 be commercially available before 2035?
5%chance
5 pp this week
Forecast Timeline
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Jul 3, 2024
Closes:Dec 30, 2034
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2035
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 6, 2024
Will the cost of developing a bioproduct be reduced by 100x before 2045, compared with 2024?
55% chance
12
Will gasified lignocellulosic biomass and microbial gas fermentation scale to 500 million tons before 2050?
35% chance
7
Carbon capture: will there be a miniaturized assay to measure CO₂ absorption of water-based solvents before 2028?
8% chance
9