Question

Will Nigel Farage be elected as a Member of Parliament in the July 4 2024 UK General Election?

Resolved:Yes
Total Forecasters38
Community Prediction
95%
(83% - 97%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 95%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
78.8
Community Peer Score
3.7
Authors:
Opened:Jun 20, 2024
Closes:Jul 4, 2024
Resolves:Jul 4, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 21, 2024