Question
When will synthetic-biology protein fibers reach 10% of the world's production?
Total Forecasters5
Community Prediction
Feb 2040
(Jun 2035 - Aug 2049)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <01 Jan 2030 | 1.5% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | Jun 2035 | — |
| median | Feb 2040 | — |
| upper 75% | Aug 2049 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Jan 2075 | 5.8% | — |
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Jul 3, 2024
Closes:Jun 30, 2074
Scheduled resolution:Jun 30, 2075
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 6, 2024
Authors:
Opened:Jul 3, 2024
Closes:Jun 30, 2074
Scheduled resolution:Jun 30, 2075
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 6, 2024