Question
Pandemic series: federal funding of "gain of function research of concern" in 2016-18?
Resolved:YesTotal Forecasters59
Community Prediction
50%
(47% - 59%)
Make a Prediction
Did this actually happen?Yes
Community Peer Score
12.0
Community Baseline Score
2.1
Authors:
Opened:Jun 15, 2016
Closes:Mar 1, 2017
Resolves:May 16, 2019
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 16, 2016
How much money in billions of USD will NIH award in Research Project Grants in the 2025 Fiscal Year 2025 (Oct 1, 2024 - Sep 30, 2025)?
27.4
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?
23%
By how much will the new administration change the NIH budget in 2026 compared to 2024?
0.953
Authors:
Opened:Jun 15, 2016
Closes:Mar 1, 2017
Resolves:May 16, 2019
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 16, 2016
How much money in billions of USD will NIH award in Research Project Grants in the 2025 Fiscal Year 2025 (Oct 1, 2024 - Sep 30, 2025)?
27.4
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?
23%
By how much will the new administration change the NIH budget in 2026 compared to 2024?
0.953