0.5Gt CO2 removed by rock weathering by 2040?

conditional

condition

Cheap bio additive ↑ rock weathering 30%?

if yes

if no

0.5Gt CO2 removed by rock weathering by 2040?

74%

0.5Gt CO2 removed by rock weathering by 2040?

18%

no comments0

Make a Prediction

Cheap bio additive ↑ rock weathering 30%?	0.5Gt CO2 removed by rock weathering by 2040?
if yes	My Prediction: —
if no	My Prediction: —

community: 74%

Forecast Timeline

Yes

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Synthetic Biology at Scale

Environment & Climate

Natural Sciences

Technology

Will 0.5 Gt of atmospheric CO2 be removed annually using enhanced rock weathering before 2040?

22%

Will a bio additive for accelerating mafic rock weathering by at least 30%, which enhances its CO2 sequestration, be available before 2030 and cost less than $20 per ton of rock?

10%

Geoengineering Act Federal Law by 2025? → US climate emissions halved by 2030?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Synthetic Biology at Scale

Environment & Climate

Natural Sciences

Technology

Andrew Forrest says net zero is ‘fantasy’ so his goal is ‘real zero’. What does he mean – and can he achieve it?

Guardian•Oct 9, 2024

Once we pass 1.5°C of global warming, there is no going back

New Scientist•Oct 9, 2024

ExxonMobil Announces Major Progress In Carbon Capture Project

Forbes•Oct 10, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will 0.5 Gt of atmospheric CO2 be removed annually using enhanced rock weathering before 2040?

22%

Will a bio additive for accelerating mafic rock weathering by at least 30%, which enhances its CO2 sequestration, be available before 2030 and cost less than $20 per ton of rock?

10%