2035: alternative protein market share >25%?

conditional

condition

2030: open-source repo for alt-protein?

4 forecasters

if yes

if no

2035: alternative protein market share >25%?

55%

2035: alternative protein market share >25%?

50%

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2030: open-source repo for alt-protein?	2035: alternative protein market share >25%?
if yes	My Prediction: —
if no	My Prediction: —

50%

community: 55%

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if No

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Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Jul 3, 2024

Closes:

Dec 30, 2029

Scheduled resolution:

Jun 30, 2036

Synthetic Biology at Scale

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

Technology

Will there be an open-source repository of tools for alternative protein production before 2030?

50%

Will alternative protein have a market share above 25% of that of meat before 2035?

How many metric tons of ≥20% cultured meat will be sold from 2020 to 2050?

401

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Jul 3, 2024

Closes:

Dec 30, 2029

Scheduled resolution:

Jun 30, 2036

Synthetic Biology at Scale

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

Technology

Will there be an open-source repository of tools for alternative protein production before 2030?

50%

Will alternative protein have a market share above 25% of that of meat before 2035?

How many metric tons of ≥20% cultured meat will be sold from 2020 to 2050?

401