Will cancer mortality ↓ by 50% by 2051?

conditional

condition

Allogeneic cell therapy FDA approved by 2035?

9 forecasters

if yes

if no

Will cancer mortality ↓ by 50% by 2051?

65%

Will cancer mortality ↓ by 50% by 2051?

42%

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Allogeneic cell therapy FDA approved by 2035?	Will cancer mortality ↓ by 50% by 2051?
if yes	My Prediction: —
if no	My Prediction: —

50%

community: 65%

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if No

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Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Jul 3, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2034

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2051

Synthetic Biology at Scale

Health & Pandemics

Will a universal allogeneic cell therapy platform receive FDA approval before 2035?

50%

Will age-adjusted cancer deaths per 100,000 people in the US go down 50% or more before 2051?

51%

Will an inorganic nanoparticle-enabled cancer therapy be approved by the FDA before 2041?

80%

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Jul 3, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2034

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2051

Synthetic Biology at Scale

Health & Pandemics

Will a universal allogeneic cell therapy platform receive FDA approval before 2035?

50%

Will age-adjusted cancer deaths per 100,000 people in the US go down 50% or more before 2051?

51%

Will an inorganic nanoparticle-enabled cancer therapy be approved by the FDA before 2041?

80%