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4
19 forecasters
4 comments
19 forecasters
Conditional Cup
condition

Taurus Missile for Ukraine in 2024?

Resolved:No
19 forecasters
if yes
if no

Kerch Bridge knocked-out before 2025?

5%
5%
Resolved:Annulled

Kerch Bridge knocked-out before 2025?

1%
1%
Resolved:No
if Yes5%
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17 comments224 forecasters

Ukraine takes control of Donetsk and Luhansk?

4%chance
32 comments957 forecasters

Russia-Ukraine ceasefire in 2026?

21%chance
14 comments111 forecasters

Ukrainian territory lost in 2029?

99%chance
7 comments23 forecasters

1,000,000 UGVs in Ukrainian war before 2031

30%chance
21 comments85 forecasters

Will nuclear wpn be dtntd in/above EU state by the following dates?

March 15, 2024result: No
March 15, 2025result: No
March 15, 2026result: No
March 15, 20270.2%
3 others
18 comments153 forecasters

Ukraine Joins Russian Union State before 2040

2%chance
18 comments104 forecasters

Ukrainian control of cities January 1st, 2027

Nova Kakhovka5%
Polohy2.8%
Tokmak1.5%
Sievierodonetsk1%
10 others
32 comments143 forecasters

Trump Ukraine War Resolution

37%chance