Question

Will exactly 2 or 3 Starship launches reach low-Earth orbit by Sept 30, 2024?

Resolved:Yes
Total Forecasters5
Community Prediction
56%
(1% - 66%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 56%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
35.8
Community Peer Score
16.4
Opened:Jul 2, 2024
Closes:Jul 3, 2024
Resolves:Sep 30, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 3, 2024
Include Bots:Yes