Question
On January 1, 2040, what proportion of United Nations members will have ratified the Treaty for the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons?
Total Forecasters4
Community Prediction
0.556%
(<0.3% - 0.995%)
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CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <0.3% | 30.0% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | <0.3% | — |
| median | 0.5558% | — |
| upper 75% | 0.9946% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Oct 1, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2040
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2040
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 4, 2024
Authors:
Opened:Oct 1, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2040
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2040
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 4, 2024