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condition

2030: $10M for plant data citizen science

1 forecaster
if yes
if no

2035: plant farm use DB >25% species?

43%
43%

2035: plant farm use DB >25% species?

22%
22%
11 comment
1
1 forecaster

Make a Prediction

2030: $10M for plant data citizen science

2035: plant farm use DB >25% species?

My Prediction: —
My Prediction: —
50%
community: 43%
50%
community: 22%
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Authors:
BrunoParga
Opened:Jul 3, 2024
Closes:Jun 30, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2035
Synthetic Biology at Scale
Environment & Climate
Economy & Business
Technology

Before 2030, will citizen science initiatives to collect plant phenomic/genomic data across the globe receive at least $10 million in investment?

50% chance
7

Before 2035, will an open source database of agricultural uses cover 25% of known plant species?

25% chance
9

Before 2035, will the major science funding agencies NIH and NSF require formal reporting of AI involvement in research outputs as a condition of funding?

60% chance
29
Authors:
BrunoParga
Opened:Jul 3, 2024
Closes:Jun 30, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2035
Synthetic Biology at Scale
Environment & Climate
Economy & Business
Technology

Before 2030, will citizen science initiatives to collect plant phenomic/genomic data across the globe receive at least $10 million in investment?

50% chance
7

Before 2035, will an open source database of agricultural uses cover 25% of known plant species?

25% chance
9

Before 2035, will the major science funding agencies NIH and NSF require formal reporting of AI involvement in research outputs as a condition of funding?

60% chance
29
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