Question

If there is an American AUMF or declaration of war against Iran before 2030, will the US control Tehran within one year?

6
28
Total Forecasters37
Community Prediction
17%
(10% - 20%)

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50%
community: 17%
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Authors:
ForkLeaf
Opened:Jul 4, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2031
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2031
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 7, 2024
Politics
Geopolitics