110 forecasters

Will Russia have control of Chasiv Yar on October 1, 2024?

0.2%chance

0.2%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 0% chance, and it resolved No.

Authors:

johnnycaffeine RyanBeck

Opened:

Jul 23, 2024

Closes:

Sep 30, 2024

Resolved:

Oct 1, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 26, 2024

🏆 Q3 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆

🏆 2024 Leaderboard

Putin Builds A Citadel As The Drone Siege Of Moscow Begins

Forbes•Oct 27, 2025

‘There is no life’: Kupiansk’s slow demise reflects the fate of cities on Ukraine’s frontline

Guardian•Oct 26, 2025

Don’t believe Putin’s lies: Russia is not winning in Ukraine

New York Post•Oct 25, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch