110 forecasters

Will Russia have control of Chasiv Yar on October 1, 2024?

0.2%chance

0.2%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 0% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

johnnycaffeine RyanBeck

Opened:

Jul 23, 2024

Closes:

Sep 30, 2024

Resolved:

Oct 1, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 26, 2024

🏆 Q3 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆

2024 Leaderboard

Russia’s Putin hails war advances; Ukraine retakes parts of Donetsk

Al Jazeera•Sep 11, 2025

Despair and destruction: Civilians in Ukraine’s eastern strongholds struggle as Russia advances

Associated Press•Sep 10, 2025

Mired Down in War: Should Ukraine Surrender?

Red State•Sep 10, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch