102 comments

214 forecasters

Will Joe Biden announce before July 15, 2024 that he will not accept the Democratic Party's nomination for President?

2%chance

2%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 2% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Jul 1, 2024

Closes:

Jul 13, 2024

Resolved:

Jul 15, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 2, 2024

2024 Leaderboard

Don’t let Buttigieg or any other Biden-decline denier claw back their credibility

New York Post•Sep 16, 2025

Joe Biden Shaping Up To Be Dems’ Monkey On Back As Midterms Loom

Daily Caller•Sep 15, 2025

Pete Buttigieg says Biden 'should not have run' for reelection in 2024

USA Today•Sep 15, 2025

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