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143 comments
212 forecasters

Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)?

Tim Walzresult: Yes
Gina Raimondoresult: No
Jeff Jacksonresult: No
Authors:
johnnycaffeineADQ
Opened:Jul 4, 2024
Closes:Nov 4, 2024
Resolved:Nov 15, 2024
Elections
2024 Leaderboard
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Who will be the 2028 Democratic nominee for President of the United States?

Other
39.3%
Gavin Newsom
23.1%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
10.1%
5 others
164 forecasters

Will Andrew Cuomo, Eric Adams or Curtis Sliwa announce that they are dropping out of the 2025 NYC mayoral race before October 1, 2025?

30% chance
53

If inaugurated as President in 2025, will these 2024 presidential candidates complete a full four-year term?

Kamala Harris
Annulled
Nikki Haley
Annulled
Ron DeSantis
Annulled
5 others
68 forecasters
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