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9
160
forecasters
14
9 comments
160 forecasters
🏆 Q3 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆
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Will Democrats have a brokered convention in 2024?
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No
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11 comments
240 forecasters
Who will be the 2028 Democratic nominee for President of the United States?
Gavin Newsom
26.1%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
10.4%
Pete Buttigieg
7.4%
Other
43.5%
4 others
5 comments
50 forecasters
Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election?
Democratic Party
59.9%
Republican Party
40%
Other
0.1%
16 comments
161 forecasters
Democrat Wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
61%
chance
5 comments
25 forecasters
US States Won by Non-Major Parties in 2028
1%
chance
0 comments
93 forecasters
No debates between nominees in US elections in the following years?
2021-2022
Annulled
2023-2024
result:
No
2025-2026
Annulled
2027-2028
8%
0 comments
103 forecasters
Losing US presidential candidate not conceding in these elections?
2021-2022
Annulled
2023-2024
result:
No
2025-2026
Annulled
2027-2028
42%
75 comments
183 forecasters
Trump in power beyond 2028?
2.5%
chance
14 comments
247 forecasters
Who will be the 2028 Republican nominee for President of the United States?
JD Vance
44.8%
Ron DeSantis
4.7%
Marco Rubio
17.7%
Other
27%
4 others