78 comments
629 forecasters
Will Scotland leave the United Kingdom before 2025?
0.1%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 0% chance, and it resolved No.
Authors:
Opened:Jan 21, 2019
Closes:Jan 1, 2025
Resolved:Jan 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 21, 2019
Will Scotland leave the United Kingdom before 2030?
1.8% chance
192
When the next referendum is held on Scotland's Union with the United Kingdom, will Scotland vote to leave?
56% chance
163
When will the next Scottish independence referendum be held?
Dec 2032
(22 Nov 2029 - >Jan 2035)
Dec 2032
(22 Nov 2029 - >Jan 2035)
65 forecasters