Question

Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will the UK vote for Brexit?

Resolved:Yes

14 comments14

Total Forecasters47

Community Prediction

30%

(20% - 40%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 30%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

-55.9

Community Peer Score

25.0

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Jun 19, 2016

Closes:

Jun 23, 2016

Resolves:

Jun 24, 2016

Spot Scoring Time:

Jun 20, 2016

Politics

2016 Leaderboard

When the next referendum is held on Scotland's Union with the United Kingdom, will Scotland vote to leave?

55%

Will the United Kingdom rejoin the European Union before 2030?

Will any country trigger article 50 to leave the European Union, before 2030?

13%