Question

Will the Liberal Party of Canada win the most seats in the next Canadian general election?

Resolved:Yes

39 comments39

Total Forecasters82

Community Prediction

55%

(53% - 60%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 55%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Peer Score

6.6

Community Baseline Score

2.2

Authors:

metani

Opened:

Jan 23, 2019

Closes:

Oct 21, 2019

Resolves:

Oct 22, 2019

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 23, 2019

Politics

2019 Leaderboard

How many seats in the Canadian House of Commons will these parties win in the 2025 federal election?

0.465

When the Coalition next governs Australia, will it be in majority?

60%

What fraction of Canadian parliaments to 2050 will lack any party majority?

0.459

Authors:

metani

Opened:

Jan 23, 2019

Closes:

Oct 21, 2019

Resolves:

Oct 22, 2019

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 23, 2019

Politics

2019 Leaderboard

How many seats in the Canadian House of Commons will these parties win in the 2025 federal election?

0.465

When the Coalition next governs Australia, will it be in majority?

60%

What fraction of Canadian parliaments to 2050 will lack any party majority?

0.459