Question
What will Keir Starmer's approval rating as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be on September 18, 2024?
Resolved:36Total Forecasters66
Community Prediction
34.5
(31.1 - 37.8)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <25 | 3.6% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 31.08 | — |
| median | 34.53 | — |
| upper 75% | 37.76 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >70 | 0.1% | — |
What was the final result?36
Community Baseline Score
60.7
Community Peer Score
20.3
Authors:
Opened:Aug 14, 2024
Closes:Sep 18, 2024
Resolves:Sep 18, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 17, 2024
Authors:
Opened:Aug 14, 2024
Closes:Sep 18, 2024
Resolves:Sep 18, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 17, 2024
