Question

What will be the relative performance of a $400 GPU (nominal 2030 US dollars) from Nvidia in December 2030 compared to the RTX 4060?

Total Forecasters6
Community Prediction
241 RTX 4060 = 100
(183 RTX 4060 = 100 - 329 RTX 4060 = 100)

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%183.1
median241.5
upper 75%329.4
Upper bound
>10000.6%
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Authors:
Opened:Jul 15, 2024
Closes:Sep 30, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 18, 2024