Question

Before October 1, 2024, will there be an armed forces death in a conflict opposing China to Taiwan, the United States, the Philippines, or Japan?

Resolved:No
Total Forecasters29
Community Prediction
30%
(12% - 35%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 30%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
0.0
Community Peer Score
0.0
Opened:Jul 10, 2024
Closes:Jul 11, 2024
Resolves:Oct 2, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 11, 2024
Include Bots:Yes