31 forecasters

Will Jonas Vingegaard win the Tour de France 2024?

40%chance

40%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 40% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Jul 10, 2024

Closes:

Jul 11, 2024

Resolved:

Jul 23, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 11, 2024

Include Bots:Yes

Q3 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

2024 Leaderboard

Jonas Vingegaard confirmed as overall winner of Vuelta a España after more protests

NBC•Sep 15, 2025

Jonas Vingegaard seals redemption at Vuelta but problems persist for UAE without Tadej Pogacar

Independent•Sep 15, 2025

Jonas Vingegaard on brink of Vuelta triumph as Tom Pidcock holds on to podium place

Independent•Sep 14, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch