45 comments
30 forecasters
Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before Sept 30, 2024?
8%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 8% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jul 10, 2024
Closes:Jul 11, 2024
Resolved:Oct 2, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 11, 2024
Include Bots:Yes