Question

Will the Olympic record for the men's pole vault be broken at the 2024 Paris Olympics?

Resolved:Yes

3 comments3

Total Forecasters9

Community Prediction

72%

(70% - 80%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 72%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

40.3

Community Peer Score

3.6

Authors:

BrunoParga

Opened:

Jul 27, 2024

Closes:

Aug 3, 2024

Resolves:

Aug 5, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 28, 2024

Sports & Entertainment

2024 Leaderboard

Mondo Duplantis ‘full to the brim’ after breaking pole vault world record for 12th time

CNN•Jun 16, 2025

Incredible reason why Mondo Duplantis has now broken the pole vault world record TWELVE times - and it's earned him almost £1m

Daily Mail•Jun 16, 2025

Home hero Armand Duplantis delights Stockholm with new pole vault world record

Independent•Jun 16, 2025

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