M

Question

Will Trump's lead over Biden be greater than 3 and less than or equal to 4 on July 15, 2024, according to 538's national polling average?

Resolved :No
41
Total Forecasters26
Community Prediction35%

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50%
community: 35%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
0.0
Community Peer Score
0.0
median 35.0%mean 32.7%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
Authors:
Tom_Metaculus
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Include Bots:Yes
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